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Wednesday, September 2, 2015

Welcome to 2015! New beginnings...

Ahhhh yes. A new season. Ready to kick this thing off correctly.

1. Western Kentucky @ Vanderbilt (+115)
Thursday 7:00pm CT | SECN

This is a weird game for me. When I saw that WKU was a 3+ point underdog earlier in the week, I started thinking something looked weird about that. And knowing that the game opened right off the bat with Vandy as a 17pt favorite... this game is now WKU -2.5, which is almost a 3 touchdown swing. Any game that swings more than 7 points, I go against the public. Vegas ain't dumb... these are the kinda games they make their living on - looks like a surefire bet, but isn't. I think Vandy finds a way to win this one straight up. Somehow, someway.

2. Michigan (+5.5) @ Utah
Thursday 7:30pm CT | FS1

Jim Harbaugh's first game at Michigan is a doozy. But the biggest thing here is that Michigan does have a lot of talent. Utah won a TON of close games last year... and even though they're at home, I look for this game to be close. I'm not sure who's going to pull out the win at the end, but I think the Wolverines keep this within the 5.5. Harbaugh is known for quick turnarounds, and I think he starts it off with him team looking significantly improved right off the bat.

3. Washington (+12.5) @ Boise St
Friday 9:15pm CT | ESPN

Ok... so here's the deal. Chris Peterson is the guy who built Boise St. He's only been gone for one season, so he knows this team about as well as any coach can. Now, does anybody think Brian Harsin is a better game coach than Peterson? Especially with an entire offseason to get ready for the game? I don't think so. I'll take Peterson, especially getting almost 2 touchdowns.

4. Louisville (+11) vs Auburn (in Atlanta)
Saturday 2:30pm CT | CBS

Bobby Petrino is 10-0 in season openers... This is his team's 2nd season in his offense, and they return a ton of talent from a 9 win team last year. Now, on the other side, Auburn is breaking in a new quarterback, and has a new defensive coordinator with some pretty complicated schemes. This isn't the first game that Auburn would like to have on the schedule. I think Louisville keeps this game really interesting. Auburn is more talented, but I think Louisville is better prepared.

5. Georgia Southern (+20) @ West Virginia
Saturday 6:30pm CT | FSN

Georgia Southern's first year in D1 was last season, and they won 9 games, and 2 of the 3 games they lost were only one possession (42-38 at Georgia Tech, 24-23 at NC State). West Virginia is good, but it's difficult to stop GaSo's triple option attack. I look for this one to be significantly closer than the line.

6. Ohio St @ Virginia Tech (+13)
Monday 7:00pm CT | ESPN

Ohio St has several people suspended, they're not sure who is going to be the leader at QB, and Virginia Tech's Bud Foster has had a LONG time to get ready for Urban Meyer's offense, which his team stifled last year in the Horseshoe. There's a ton of hype about the Buckeyes, but Lane Stadium in Blacksburg is a really difficult place to play, especially at night on ESPN, and Urban Meyer is actually pretty bad when picked as the favorite. Ohio St may win, but I look for this one to be closer than the line.

Wednesday, November 26, 2014

Week 14: Here we go

Overall record: 30-31-3

It's not been good... but I feel a good week coming up before conference championship games. We're gonna knock this one out.

1. Florida (+7.5) @ Florida St
Saturday 2:30pm CT | ESPN

Florida St just can't put teams away, and Florida just looks like a much more confident team with Harris at QB. Not to mention, this is Coach Boom's last game, and these kids would love nothing more than to send him out a winner. I don't know that they'll win, but after watching FSU struggle against Boston College last week.. and basically everybody before that, I like this one to stay within a touchdown.

2. Colorado St (-7) @ Air Force
Friday 2:30pm CT | CBSSN

Jim McElwain has this thing just absolutely rolling at Colorado St. They are 10-1 on the year so far, and if they can get Boise beat, they would win the MWC outright. They've still got a shot at one of the big bowls in the CFP pecking order, so I don't look for them to slow down here. Air Force has been good, but they got rolled at San Diego St last week 30-14, and I think Colo St is better than SDSU. I look for about a 10 point win here. 34-24ish

3. TCU @ Texas (+7)
Thursday 6:30pm CT | FS1

TCU looked baaaaad against Kansas. And Texas looks good. The game's in Austin, on Thanksgiving, and I think the pressure of the playoff is getting to TCU. Texas has been a lot better recently, and I think they could pull this one out.

4. Arkansas @ Missouri (+105)
Friday 1:30pm CT | CBS

Arkansas has been killin folks 3 of the last 4 games - 45-17 over an improved UAB, a 17-10 loss at Mississippi St, a 17-0 win over LSU, and a 30-0 win over Ole Miss. However, Missouri finds a way to win football games and, while I don't want to bet against the Hogs, this game is in Mizzou, and if the Tigers win, they're going to Atlanta for the SEC Championship game. I think Gary Pinkel will have his kids ready to play, and they'll find a way to make the right play at the right time to win this game at the end.

Here are my last 2 weeks' bets. Absolutely putrid.

Straight Wager 11/22/14 10:28 EST

Result: Wager Lost

Missouri 29 vs Tennessee 21 11/22/14 19:40 EST

Tennessee -5.5 (-110)

Straight Wager 11/22/14 10:28 EST

Result: Wager Lost

South Florida 20 vs Memphis 31 11/22/14 16:05 EST

Memphis -20 (-110)

Straight Wager 11/22/14 10:28 EST

Result: Wager Won

Mississippi 0 vs Arkansas 30 11/22/14 15:40 EST

Arkansas +3.5 (-120)

Straight Wager 11/22/14 10:28 EST

Result: Wager Won

Boston College 17 vs Florida State 20 11/22/14 15:40 EST

Boston College +17 (-115)