Overall record: 25-22-3
1. Ohio St @ Mich St (-3.5)
Saturday 7:00pm CT | ESPN
Michigan St has been straight up killin people... and Ohio St really has issues on the road (see Penn St, where they needed Nittany Lion miscues AND the refs' help to pull that one out). This one is in East Lansing, and the Spartans really have something against ol' Urbz and the Buckeyes. I don't see them showing any mercy. Should win this one by 17-21.
2. SMU @ Tulsa (-13)
Saturday 11:00am CT | CBSSN
Tulsa has shown signs of being able to score, but they just can't hold leads. Shouldn't be an issue here because SMU couldn't score against air. Tulsa should put up some nice numbers here and win convincingly. I love getting 13 instead of 14 here.
3. Louisiana Tech (-4) @ UAB
Saturday 11:00am CT | NESN
LaTech is 6-2 against the spread this year, and UAB just got clobbered at Arkansas last week, while the Bulldogs went on the road and beat up Western Kentucky 59-10. UAB should be able to hang close for a bit, but I'm looking at a 10 point win for Skip Holtz's bunch.
4. Georgia Southern (-13) @ Texas St
Saturday 4:00pm CT | ESPN3
Georgia Southern has the triple option working to absolute perfection. They are 8-1 against the spread so far this year, which is the best in the country. As long as they're rolling on that streak, I'm rolling with them. Texas St is good, and it's in their backyard... but Georgia Southern plays a style of ball that nobody has been able to catch up to yet.
5. Oregon @ Utah (+9)
Saturday 9:00pm CT | ESPN
It's juuuuust about time for Oregon to lose a game and screw everything up, and man, does this one fit the bill. Yeah, I know they got a loss out of the way earlier in the year at home, but Salt Lake City isn't an easy place to play. Utah lost by 3 in overtime at Arizona St last week in one hell of a football game... and if you look at the way Utah plays, it really reminds you of the last couple of Stanford teams that knocked out the Ducks. I like Utah to at least cover the 9, and with Oregon quickly becoming the media darlings again, look for them to tighten up a bit and give Utah a chance.
